Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000531 0.000614 0.000703 0.000805 0.000918 0.001038 0.001177
2025-06-29 0.000395 0.000508 0.000637 0.000796 0.000983 0.001196 0.001454
2025-07-06 0.000319 0.000441 0.000589 0.000779 0.001014 0.001290 0.001637
2025-07-13 0.000277 0.000408 0.000575 0.000798 0.001082 0.001427 0.001871
2025-07-20 0.000242 0.000379 0.000560 0.000810 0.001138 0.001546 0.002084
2025-07-27 0.000207 0.000344 0.000532 0.000801 0.001164 0.001626 0.002248
2025-08-03 0.000176 0.000310 0.000503 0.000786 0.001178 0.001690 0.002390
2025-08-10 0.000157 0.000292 0.000493 0.000795 0.001224 0.001794 0.002586
2025-08-17 0.000139 0.000273 0.000478 0.000796 0.001258 0.001881 0.002760
2025-08-24 0.000117 0.000244 0.000447 0.000770 0.001250 0.001911 0.002859
2025-08-31 0.000099 0.000219 0.000418 0.000746 0.001244 0.001940 0.002955
2025-09-07 0.000087 0.000204 0.000405 0.000743 0.001267 0.002012 0.003109
2025-09-14 0.000077 0.000191 0.000392 0.000742 0.001292 0.002087 0.003272
2025-09-21 0.000067 0.000175 0.000376 0.000732 0.001304 0.002143 0.003410
2025-09-28 0.000057 0.000160 0.000357 0.000717 0.001307 0.002185 0.003527
2025-10-05 0.000053 0.000155 0.000357 0.000734 0.001361 0.002303 0.003755
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000149 0.000355 0.000745 0.001405 0.002407 0.003966
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000138 0.000341 0.000737 0.001417 0.002463 0.004106
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000127 0.000326 0.000723 0.001418 0.002502 0.004221
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000122 0.000322 0.000731 0.001457 0.002599 0.004426
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000115 0.000316 0.000732 0.001483 0.002677 0.004601
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000103 0.000296 0.000708 0.001464 0.002683 0.004669
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000092 0.000278 0.000685 0.001447 0.002691 0.004738